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2024-12-14 11:30:01

A shares: The latest release of the National Development and Reform Commission! Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.


Don't wait, there will be no accidents next week.In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.


The central bank's statement shows that the exchange rate will not have room for further sharp depreciation, which can dispel the market's doubts. Judging from the recent exchange rate trend, it has kept a high level and fluctuated sideways. This week's closing did not fall below 7.26, so although it temporarily returned below 7.3, in fact, the depreciation trend in the medium term has not changed substantially. There is nothing to worry about in this position. In the future, we are optimistic about gradual appreciation, but the process will be slower.This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.

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